Why some M&A auctions become real price wars

Why some M&A auctions become real price wars

When a company is put up for sale, many people imagine that a buyer submits an offer, the seller accepts it, and both parties then negotiate the final details before signing. In reality, mergers and acquisitions transactions, especially those involving attractive companies, often follow a much more competitive process. It is not uncommon for several private equity funds, industrial groups, or strategic investors to compete for several weeks, or even several months, in order to win the transaction.

These competitive processes can lead to genuine price wars, during which valuations sometimes reach levels that few observers considered possible only a few months earlier. However, contrary to appearances, these auctions are not only a matter of increasing the price. They result from a complex balance between strategy, value creation, competition, and psychology.

In M&A, the best offer is not always the highest one. But when an asset is exceptional, buyers are sometimes willing to pay significantly more than what the market considered reasonable.

   

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Everything starts with an organized process

   

Large M&A transactions are generally not improvised.

When a shareholder decides to sell a company, they usually appoint an investment bank to organize a structured sale process.

The bank prepares a teaser, then an Information Memorandum, selects potential buyers, and organizes several bidding rounds.

Each candidate receives the same information, has the same deadlines, and must submit its offer according to a very precise timeline.

The objective is simple: create genuine competition in order to obtain the best possible conditions for the seller.

The greater the number of credible buyers, the more negotiating power shifts toward the seller.

   

Why some assets attract so many candidates

  

Not all companies trigger competitive bidding processes.

The most competitive auctions generally involve companies presenting several particularly attractive characteristics.

Strong organic growth, a leading position in a niche market, high margins, strong cash generation, a recognized management team, or significant international expansion potential are often enough to attract numerous investors.

Companies operating in sectors such as healthcare, software, B2B services, or infrastructure are particularly targeted.

When an asset combines growth, profitability, and visibility, it quickly becomes the object of everyone’s attention.

   

Private equity funds do not all have the same logic

   

From the outside, two funds submitting different valuations may simply appear to have different opinions regarding price.

In reality, their value creation assumptions can be completely different.

One fund may plan a Buy-and-Build strategy, involving several complementary acquisitions that allow the group’s EBITDA to increase significantly.

Another may have sector expertise enabling it to rapidly improve operational performance.

A third may identify international synergies that its competitors are unable to achieve.

In each of these cases, the value created after the acquisition can justify paying a higher entry price.

In private equity, an asset is not only worth what it is today, but also what an investor is capable of making it become tomorrow.

   

Industrial buyers can sometimes pay much more

   

Against private equity funds, industrial buyers often have a specific advantage.

Unlike a private equity fund, which will eventually have to sell the company several years later, an industrial buyer can retain its target for decades.

Above all, it can generate synergies.

The sharing of procurement, the elimination of certain costs, the integration of commercial networks, or the sharing of production capabilities can sometimes create considerable value.

These synergies explain why a strategic buyer may sometimes be able to offer significantly more than investment funds.

The best buyer is not always the one who values the company the highest based on its current performance, but the one who will be able to create the most value after the acquisition.

   

The role of scarcity

   

Psychology also plays an important role.

Some companies are simply never available for sale.

When a global leader in a niche market is finally put on the market after several decades, many investors know that they may not have another opportunity for a very long time.

This scarcity pushes some candidates to accept exceptionally high valuation levels.

The reasoning is simple: it is better to slightly overpay for an exceptional asset than to miss a unique opportunity.

In some auctions, the scarcity of the asset becomes almost as important as its financial performance.

   

The effect of competition

  

Auctions naturally create a well-known psychological phenomenon.

As the different rounds progress, each candidate knows that several competitors are simultaneously working on the same opportunity.

This competition can progressively influence behavior.

Teams that have already spent several weeks analyzing a company, hired consultants, lawyers, tax specialists, and operational experts may be tempted to increase their offer in order not to see all these efforts become worthless.

Economists sometimes refer to this as the winner’s curse: the winner is sometimes the one who has most overestimated the true value of the asset.

Competitive pressure can lead some investors to gradually exceed their investment discipline.

   

Why some funds prefer to walk away

   

The best investors do not win every auction.

On the contrary, many highly regarded funds regularly withdraw from processes when they believe valuations have become excessive.

This discipline is actually one of the most valued qualities in the industry.

Paying too much for a company mechanically reduces future return prospects, even if the company itself is excellent.

Some funds therefore prefer to lose ten transactions rather than win one at an unjustifiable price.

In private equity, knowing when to walk away is often a more valuable quality than knowing how to win an auction.

  

Investment banks maintain competition

   

The banks appointed to sell a company naturally seek to maximize the value obtained for their client.

They therefore organize the different phases of the process in a way that maintains strong competitive pressure.

Candidates are regularly informed that several offers remain under consideration.

Additional bidding rounds may be organized in order to improve final proposals.

In some cases, very short deadlines are imposed to prevent buyers from completely reassessing their assumptions.

The entire process aims to identify the best combination between price, execution certainty, and transaction speed.

A well-organized auction is not only about increasing the price, but about identifying the buyer with the strongest profile to complete the transaction.

   

When price is no longer the only criterion

   

As valuations increase, other elements sometimes become decisive.

The seller may favor a buyer capable of quickly obtaining regulatory approvals, already having financing secured, or offering greater certainty regarding completion.

The quality of the management team, the industrial project, or the ability to preserve employees can also influence the final decision.

It is therefore not unusual for a slightly lower offer to be selected over a higher financial proposal considered riskier.

An M&A transaction relies as much on execution certainty as on the amount displayed in the offer.

  

Record valuations are often the result of auctions

   

When a company is sold at particularly high multiples, many conclude that the market has become irrational.

Reality is often more nuanced.

These valuations generally reflect the meeting point between several highly prepared buyers, each with a different value creation strategy and convinced that the company represents an exceptional opportunity.

Competition then gradually pushes the price upward until only one candidate remains.

The highest valuations observed in M&A are rarely accidental: they are often the result of intense competition between investors with different strategies.

  

Conclusion

M&A auctions perfectly illustrate that the value of a company does not depend solely on its financial performance. It also depends on the scarcity of the asset, potential synergies, the strategy of each buyer, and the competitive dynamic created throughout the sale process.

Behind every major price war lies a strategic battle in which investment banks, private equity funds, and industrial buyers each attempt to demonstrate that they will be able to create more value than their competitors. It is precisely this conviction, even more than the numbers appearing in a financial model, that explains why some companies reach historic valuations when they are sold.